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Figure 1. Annual Rainfall (black, in mm) and grain
production (blue, in percent of normal yield) in two dry El Niño
years in the Nordeste, when seasonal precipitation dropped, as is typical,
from an expected 1000 mm to 600-700 mm. In 1987, at the left, no El
Niño-related action was taken, and grain production fell to less
than 45 percent of the normal amount. Advance prediction of the 1992
El Niño, on the right, allowed drought resistant crops to be
planted, and grain production dropped only to about 70 percent of the
normal, wet-year harvest.
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