PROGRAM TITLE: Assessment of Biospheric Carbon Pools and Fluxes ACTIVITY STREAMS: Assessments, Processes, Modeling SCIENCE ELEMENT:Biogeochemical Dynamics BUDGET LINE ITEM: EPA, ORD, Stratospheric Modification, GlobalĘClimate U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT SCIENTIFIC MERIT: This program assesses the potential to manage forests, agricultural soils and marine ecosystems to sequester atmospheric carbon. Changes in climatic, biologic and human management influences on biospheric carbon pools and fluxes are considered. System boundaries for these assessments include both biologic/ecological and economic/market system components, and their interactions. Thus, the cost effectiveness of management options are assessed, including secondary effects on markets and ecological resources. State-of-science assessments and management focused assessments are produced in support of domestic policy analysis and IPCC and FCCC assessment needs. Data synthesis and analysis is combined with mechanistic model development and application to assess the carbon sequestration potential for boreal, temperate and tropical forest biomes/regions in key nations and globally; North American and global agricultural soils; and for marine phytoplankton. The impact of human influences that conserves, sequesters, or uses terrestrial carbon pools are emphasized. The effect on global carbon pool sizes of conventional and alternative management practices are assessed. STAKEHOLDERS: Research relationships have been developed with scientists at DOE, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and many university laboratories and NGOs (eg, IGBP). Formal linkages have been established with government agencies of Brazil, Canada, Ghana, Mexico, Thailand, Russia and the EC. Close linkages with USG agency policy analysts function synergistically to provide economic analysis and policy scenario input and receive assessment results output. POLICY RELEVANCE: Products directly contribute to WG I, II, and III IPCC 1995 Assessment, the Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC), and to the development of the US National Action Plan under the FCCC. This work assists in the development of U.S. climate change policies, and is promoting the development of such policies in other countries. The mitigation and adaptation sections of the 1998(?) IPCC Assessment is targeted to receive major products from this work. It contributes to the achievement of the following USGCRP milestones: ASSESSMENT; 1991-1995 Milestone: Response of atmospheric carbon pool size to terrestrial ecosystem management calculated; 1996-2000 Milestone: Integrated international assessments of global change continued; PROCESS STUDIES; Greenhouse Gases, Terrestrial Sources/Sinks: Human Influenced and Natural, 1991-1995 Milestone: Carbon content and CO2 fluxes quantified for vegetation and soil of representative forest, grassland, and agroecosystems; 1996-2000 Milestones: Carbon content of vegetation and soil quantified for boreal temperate and tropical biotic zones,and Role of iron in oceanic productivity and carbon sequestration determined; MODELING; Greenhouse Gases, 1991-1995 Milestone: Terrestrial model for carbon developed; 1996-2000 Milestone: Dynamic global carbon models developed. PROGRAM CONTACT:Peter Breedlow, U.S. EPA, 200 SW 35th Street, Corvallis, OR 97333, (503) 754-4634