PROGRAM TITLE: U.S. Joint Global Ocean Flux Program (U. S. JGOFS) ACTIVITY STREAMS: Process, Model, Observe, Data, Assess SCIENTIFIC ELEMENT:Biogeochemical Dynamics NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION SCIENTIFIC MERIT: The goal of the U.S. JGOFS Program is to investigate the fluxes of carbon and related biogenic elements between air and sea, and within the ocean, using ships, aircraft, satellites, and in-ocean instrumentation, to achieve its goals. The Program elements consist of time-series stations, process studies, a global survey of ocean CO2 chemistry, data management and modeling. Each year some 40% of the fossil fuel CO2 added to the atmosphere is transferred to the sea, and the imprint of this signal now provides a significant perturbation of ocean chemistry. Policy makers are concerned with regulating the build up of atmospheric CO2, and need accurate information on current status and future trends. Models accounting for this process typically use a simple abiological ocean, and the fossil fuel signal appears in such models as written on a blank, or constant background. The true ocean contains large time-varying gradients of the natural cycle on which the fossil fuel signal is superimposed. U.S.JGOFS experiments are designed to observe and constrain this natural cycle so that the changes of man are truly discernible. In the future it is quite possible that climatic change can perturb this natural cycle, forcing further changes in the CO2 system, and affecting life processes over 70% of the earth's surface. U.S. JGOFS seeks to attain national and international consensus and scientific understanding of these issues. The potential role of increased atmospheric CO2 in influencing the marine animal populations will be addressed by the linking of JGOFS and GLOBEC. In a similar linkage, the interaction of the ocean and continental margins will be realized through coordination with LIOCZ. Two major process studies, both multi-agency and multi-national, have been executed, two time-series stations, are in operation, and approximately one third of the global survey goals have already been met. A research satellite dedicated to the program is scheduled for a 1994 launch. STAKEHOLDERS: The U.S. JGOFS Program grew out of the recommendations of a 1984 National Academy of Sciences workshop. It is a major and leading component of the international program JGOFS, established three years later, which now numbers more than 30 nations among its participants, and is a "Core Project" of the IGBP. National and international partners include related global change programs which cooperate with JGOFS (i.e., WOCE, GLOBEC, TOGA and IGAC and their U.S. equivalents). In addition, NOAA's Global Change Program and NASA's Ocean Biogeochemistry Program are integral components of the U.S. JGOFS. Beneficiaries include the scientific community, at large, who need a better description of the ocean's role in the global carbon cycle and policy makers who rely on this community for advice. POLICY RELEVANCE: Preliminary information from the JGOFS Program will prove essential to policy makers as they look forward to the EOS Era and assess how such programs as JGOFS can help to tackle the questions which are to be addressed in the post-JGOFS period. Long term benefits will derive naturally from the insights which flow from an increased understanding of the global carbon cycle and policy issues which relate to it. PROGRAM CONTACTS:Neil Andersen, Chemical Oceanography Program Director Phillip Taylor, Biological Oceanography Program Director