PROGRAM TITLE: Predicting Water and Energy Fluxes Within and From Managed Ecosystems ACTIVITY STREAM: Understanding SCIENCE ELEMENTS:Climate and Hydrologic Systems U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Agricultural Research Service SCIENTIFIC MERIT: Research emphasizes understanding of the hydrologic processes and the interactions between snow accumulation and melt, soil moisture and freezing, distribution of precipitation, evapotranspiration, groundwater recharge and stream flow. Research will improve the accuracy of deterministic hydrologic models through the use of fundamental knowledge of hydrologic processes, new weather generation techniques incorporating elevation and spatial dependence of climatic variables, El Nino-Southern Oscillation, and other effects, and new technology including remote sensing, geographic information systems, and digital elevation data. Model improvements are accomplished by coupling results from additional field research and experiments with new technologies with new modeling approaches, and expanding cooperative efforts with other federal agencies. Data from ARS experimental watersheds, and SCS long-term precipitation and snow accumulation records, are used to modify, develop, and validate models. Research results from this program also support TERRA (which is described in more detail in the USDA/ARS program on Ecosystem Modeling). The Agricultural Research Service (ARS) maintains a sound foundation for developing the means for addressing problems of this type, including 14 watershed research centers, water and energy data records exceeding 50 years at several locations and a strong core of scientific leaders developing and applying physically-based models for energy and water transfer in agricultural and rangeland systems. ARS hydrologists are closely linked to a global network of other hydrologic scientists dealing with these issues, and are providing important leadership to major hydrologic modeling efforts. STAKEHOLDERS: The research benefits all of society through application of research results to insure food and fiber production for the Nation on a sustainable basis. POLICY RELEVANCE: This research is linked with USDA agencies (FS, CSRS, and SCS) and with other CEES agencies as opportunities present themselves. Benefits will primarily be scientific information on which to develop policies and aid decision making at local, regional, and national scales involving the impact of climate and global change on the sustainability of food and fiber supplies and the health of the natural resource base. PROGRAM CONTACT:R. Dennis Child Phone (301) 504-5618 FAX (301) 504-6231