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Global Climate Change Digest
A Guide to Information on Greenhouse Gases and Ozone Depletion
Published July 1988 through June 1999

FROM VOLUME 10, NUMBER 1, JANUARY 1997

REPORTS...
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS: SEA LEVEL

Item #d97jan96

The Probability of Sea Level Rise (EPA 230-R-95-008), J.G. Titus, V.K. Narayanan, 186 pp., 1995 (NCEPI/EPA).

Presents the methods and results of a two-part study to estimate the probability distribution of sea level rise implied by the expectations of about 20 climate researchers. The resulting estimates are somewhat lower than found in previous studies, primarily because of lower temperature projections that take into consideration the cooling caused by aerosols in the upper atmosphere. These are among the other conclusions: global warming is most likely to raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 and 34 cm by 2100; there is a 1% chance that global warming will raise sea level by 1 m in the next 100 years; stabilizing emissions by 2025 could cut by 50% the rate of sea level rise; factors other than anthropogenic climate change will cause the sea to rise more than the rise from only climate change.

Item #d97jan97

Changing Coastlines: Effects of Climate Change, 20 pp., 1996, $5 (TERI).

Presents several case studies, from the developed and developing worlds, to give a preliminary idea of the possible impact of sea level rise. Also highlights appropriate strategies to mitigate adverse impacts of sea level rise, including biological, technical and institutional responses.