February 28, 2007
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Global Climate Change Digest
A Guide to Information on Greenhouse Gases and Ozone Depletion
Published July 1988 through June 1999
FROM VOLUME 10, NUMBER 1, JANUARY 1997
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS: SEA LEVEL
The Probability of Sea Level Rise (EPA 230-R-95-008), J.G. Titus,
V.K. Narayanan, 186 pp., 1995 (NCEPI/EPA).
Presents the methods and results of a two-part study to estimate the
probability distribution of sea level rise implied by the expectations of about
20 climate researchers. The resulting estimates are somewhat lower than found in
previous studies, primarily because of lower temperature projections that take
into consideration the cooling caused by aerosols in the upper atmosphere. These
are among the other conclusions: global warming is most likely to raise sea
level by 15 cm by 2050 and 34 cm by 2100; there is a 1% chance that global
warming will raise sea level by 1 m in the next 100 years; stabilizing emissions
by 2025 could cut by 50% the rate of sea level rise; factors other than
anthropogenic climate change will cause the sea to rise more than the rise from
only climate change.
Changing Coastlines: Effects of Climate Change, 20 pp., 1996, $5
Presents several case studies, from the developed and developing worlds, to
give a preliminary idea of the possible impact of sea level rise. Also
highlights appropriate strategies to mitigate adverse impacts of sea level rise,
including biological, technical and institutional responses.
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