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Global Climate Change Digest A Guide to Information on Greenhouse Gases and Ozone Depletion Published July 1988 through June 1999
FROM VOLUME 10, NUMBER 1, JANUARY 1997PROFESSIONAL PUBLICATIONS...
INTEGRATED ASSSESSMENT
The following four papers constitute a special section in Clim. Change,
34(3-4), Nov.-Dec. 1996.
Item #d97jan6
"Three Dilemmas in the Integrated Assessment of Climate," E.A.
Parson (JFK School of Govt., Harvard Univ., 79 JFK St., Cambridge MA 02138),
315-326.
A lengthy comment relating to the following three papers, which together
address these fundamental dilemmas: interdisciplinary and critical standards;
the dependence of integrated assessments on future projections of human choice
and behavior; and how integrated assessment relates to other factors involved in
policy formulation.
Item #d97jan7
"Integrated Assessment: A Growing Child on Its Way to Maturity,"
J. Rotmans (Div. Sustainable Development, United Nations, 2 UN Plaza, Rm. DC
2-2246, New York NY 10017), M. Van Asselt, 327-336.
An essay discussing the most persistent conceptions about integrated
assessment, an appropriate framework for it, the current state of the art, and
major future challenges, the greatest of which is gaining credibility.
Item #d97jan8
"Learning from Integrated Assessment of Climate Change," M.G.
Morgan (Carnegie Mellon Univ., Pittsburgh PA 15213), H. Dowlatabadi, 337-368.
Reflects on broad insights gained in the course of five years of integrated
assessment activity at Carnegie Mellon University. Discusses who the climate
decision makers are; the nature of the climate problem; studies of climate
impacts; and selected policy issues. Concludes that the issue of equity has
received too little attention in past work; many conventional tools for policy
analysis are inadequate for the climate problem; and values that change, and
mixed levels of uncertainty, pose particularly important challenges for the
future.
Item #d97jan9
"Assessing Integrated Assessments," J. Risbey (Dept. Eng. &
Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon Univ., Pittsburgh PA 15213), M. Kandlikar, A.
Patwardhan, 369-395.
Offers a first attempt to grapple with the issues of quality control and
assessment of quality. Building and maintaining credibility via quality control
is a necessary condition for realizing the potential of integrated assessment.
Highlights a number of pitfalls and discusses their causes, offering suggestions
for alleviating them. For instance, tools which may be reasonable to use in
particular disciplinary, geographical, or temporal contexts may be unsuited to
the broader contexts inherent in integrated assessments of global environmental
change.
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