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Global Climate Change Digest
A Guide to Information on Greenhouse Gases and Ozone Depletion
Published July 1988 through June 1999

FROM VOLUME 10, NUMBER 6, JUNE 1997

REPORTS...
ENERGY & EMISSION ANALYSES & TRENDS: CANADA

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The Greenhouse Gas Emissions Outlook 1996-2000, 26 pp., Dec. 1996 (NRCan/Comm).

Canadian emissions of greenhouse gases will rise 8.2% above 1990 levels by the year 2000, 18.6% by 2010, and 36.1% by 2020, leading to the conclusion that, in the absence of policy measures, Canada will fail to meet its emissions stabilization goal by 2000. The primary sources of the increases are growth in population and the economy, coupled with low energy prices and a shift to fossil fuels, particularly natural gas. The transport sector is highlighted as an area where greenhouse gas emissions could be reduced to achieve the stabilization goal.

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1996 Review of Canada's National Action Program on Climate Change [NAPCC], Dec. 1996. Contact Muriel Constantineau, Natl. Air Issues Coordinating Committee (tel: 819 997 5314).

Although Canada's greenhouse gas emissions increased 9.4% from 1990 to 1995, two separate studies conclude that they are likely to decline again by the year 2000. [According to an article in Global Environ. Change Rep. (p. 4, Dec. 13, 1996), the increase between 1990 and 1995 may be an anomaly from the shutdown of several nuclear power plants. However, environmental groups assert the government is overstating the potential for reductions over the next five years.]