Organization:
Research Title: Economics of Global Change and Agriculture
Funding Level (millions of dollars):
| FY94 | 0.8 |
|---|---|
| FY95 | 0.8 |
| FY96 | 0.8 |
Committee on Environment and Natural Resources (CENR) Component:
(a) Subcommittee: Global Change Subcommittee (100%)
(b) Environmental Issue: Climate change (80%); Large-scale changes in land
use (20%)
(c) Research Activity: Impacts and Adaptation: Socioeconomic Systems (100%)
Organizational Component:
Technology Natural Resources & Environment Division,
Economic Research Service
Room 524, 1301 New York Ave. NW
Washington, DC 20005-4788
Point of Contact:
John Reilly
Phone: 202-219-0450
E-Mail: jmreilly@econ.ag.gov
Research Goals:
To determine the impacts of potential global environmental change on land use and
on the
performance of the agricultural system.
Research Description:
Research focuses on development of models to analyze economic response to climatic
change under different technology and resource conditions, including interactions
between
agricultural production, trade and land use. The models contribute to the analysis
and
development of alternative adjustments to mitigate adverse impacts of climate change
and
evaluation of the role of land use policies in limiting net greenhouse gas emissions.
Development of secondary data sources and GIS to implement the research are also
supported.
Program Interfaces:
Research contributes to U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and
to
Integrated Analysis efforts funded by DOE, EPA, and NOAA.
Program Milestones:
FY 1995, publication of documentation of and results from a global computable general
equilibrium (CGE) model of climate change; conference on economic assessment of
impacts of global change on agriculture, featuring internal and extramural research
projects;
cross-country econometric analysis of the relationship between climate and supply
response
of major crops, prepare agricultural impacts chapter for WG-II, IPCC. FY 1995-6,
on-going research on general equilibrium impacts of domestic and international impacts.
A
specific focus of future work is investigating climate change in the context of global
agricultural sustainability.
Policy Payoffs:
Improved assessments and modeling will contribute to improved cost-benefit analysis
of
policy actions, contribution to international convention on climate change through
the
IPCC.